tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 33%

  1. 07:46 PDX → 10:36 HNL
    AS 879 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 HNL → 12:16 KOA
    AS 1078 · Alaska · 48m · 79% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 30mPDX 07:46 to KOA 12:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.