tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Houston via Portland: arrives on time 50%

  1. 21:39 HNL → 06:11 PDX
    AS 880 · Alaska · 5h 32m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:05 PDX → 13:35 IAH +1 day
    AS 1420 · Alaska · 4h 30m · 84% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 56mHNL 21:39 to IAH 13:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.