tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 51%

  1. 17:16 SAN → 20:22 HNL
    AS 894 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 HNL → 21:59 LIH
    AS 1173 · Alaska · 41m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 43mSAN 17:16 to LIH 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.