tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 58%

  1. 13:30 SEA → 16:34 HNL
    AS 899 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 53% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:08 HNL → 18:49 LIH
    AS 1143 · Alaska · 41m · 75% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 19mSEA 13:30 to LIH 18:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.