tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:30 SEA → 16:34 HNL
    AS 899 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 53% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:31 HNL → 20:13 LIH
    AS 1163 · Alaska · 42m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 43mSEA 13:30 to LIH 20:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.