tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 66%

  1. 13:30 SEA → 16:34 HNL
    AS 899 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 53% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:27 HNL → 19:08 OGG
    AS 1186 · Alaska · 41m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 38mSEA 13:30 to OGG 19:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.