tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 78%

  1. 17:16 DCA → 20:04 PDX
    AS 9 · Alaska · 5h 48m · 73% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 22:27 SEA
    AS 2421 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 11mDCA 17:16 to SEA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.