tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Salt Lake City via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 23:20 HNL → 08:00 SEA
    AS 900 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 73% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:48 SEA → 11:55 SLC +1 day
    AS 360 · Alaska · 2h 07m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 4 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 35mHNL 23:20 to SLC 11:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.