tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 23:20 HNL → 08:00 SEA
    AS 900 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 73% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 SEA → 17:16 IAH +1 day
    AS 438 · Alaska · 4h 24m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 12h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 52m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip12h 56mHNL 23:20 to IAH 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.