tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Houston via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:20 HNL → 08:00 SEA
    AS 900 · Alaska · 5h 40m · 73% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:55 SEA → 18:35 IAH +1 day
    UA 2293 · United · 4h 40m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 14h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 5 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip14h 15mHNL 23:20 to IAH 18:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.