tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 60%

  1. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:04 OGG → 15:45 HNL
    AS 1145 · Alaska · 41m · 65% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 30mSEA 10:15 to HNL 15:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.