tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 65%

  1. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:51 OGG → 17:30 HNL
    AS 1155 · Alaska · 39m · 68% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip10h 15mSEA 10:15 to HNL 17:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.