tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 OGG → 15:13 LIH
    AS 1159 · Alaska · 49m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 58mSEA 10:15 to LIH 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.