tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 68%

  1. 10:15 SEA → 13:19 OGG
    AS 929 · Alaska · 6h 04m · 72% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:43 OGG → 16:30 LIH
    AS 1269 · Alaska · 47m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 15mSEA 10:15 to LIH 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.