tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 42%

  1. 12:55 OGG → 21:25 SEA
    AS 930 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 59% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 35mOGG 12:55 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.