tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Honolulu via Kahului: arrives on time 71%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 10:56 OGG
    AS 959 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:57 OGG → 12:40 HNL
    AS 1115 · Alaska · 43m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 10mSMF 08:30 to HNL 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.