tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 63%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 10:56 OGG
    AS 959 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 28m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 OGG → 15:13 LIH
    AS 1159 · Alaska · 49m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 163 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 28m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 43mSMF 08:30 to LIH 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.