tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 87%

  1. 08:30 SMF → 10:56 OGG
    AS 959 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:55 OGG → 14:50 LIH
    WN 3101 · Southwest · 55m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip9h 20mSMF 08:30 to LIH 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.