tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:27 OGG → 19:27 SMF
    AS 960 · Alaska · 5h 00m · 73% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 SMF → 22:39 SEA
    AS 403 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 12mOGG 11:27 to SEA 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.