tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 76%

  1. 11:31 LIH → 20:01 LAX
    AS 964 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 69% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 28mLIH 11:31 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.