tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Honolulu via Kailua/Kona: arrives on time 87%

  1. 07:37 SMF → 10:00 KOA
    AS 965 · Alaska · 5h 23m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Kailua/Kona (KOA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 KOA → 12:30 HNL
    WN 2168 · Southwest · 55m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip7h 53mSMF 07:37 to HNL 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.