tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Kahului via Lihue: arrives on time 59%

  1. 07:00 SMF → 09:33 LIH
    AS 965 · Alaska · 5h 33m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 57m layover in Lihue (LIH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 LIH → 15:19 OGG
    AS 1260 · Alaska · 49m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 252 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 57m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip11h 19mSMF 07:00 to OGG 15:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.