tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Lihue → Seattle via Sacramento: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:48 LIH → 19:01 SMF
    AS 966 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:34 SMF → 22:39 SEA
    AS 403 · Alaska · 2h 05m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Lihue). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 51mLIH 10:48 to SEA 22:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.