tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Portland via San Francisco: arrives on time 50%

  1. 10:32 OGG → 18:27 SFO
    AS 978 · Alaska · 4h 55m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:08 SFO → 23:52 PDX
    AS 2023 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 44m · 54% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip10h 20mOGG 10:32 to PDX 23:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.