tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 63%

  1. 09:23 SFO → 11:47 OGG
    AS 979 · Alaska · 5h 24m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:24 OGG → 15:13 LIH
    AS 1159 · Alaska · 49m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 50mSFO 09:23 to LIH 15:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.