tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Lihue via Kahului: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:23 SFO → 11:47 OGG
    AS 979 · Alaska · 5h 24m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:43 OGG → 16:30 LIH
    AS 1269 · Alaska · 47m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 3 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip10h 07mSFO 09:23 to LIH 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.