tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 53%

  1. 01:57 ANC → 06:28 SEA
    AS 98 · Alaska · 3h 31m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:53 SEA → 11:09 SFO
    AS 528 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip8h 12mANC 01:57 to SFO 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.