tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 76%

  1. 16:16 JFK → 19:20 LAX
    B6 1023 · JetBlue · 6h 04m · 73% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 102 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip10h 43mJFK 16:16 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.