tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via New York: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:57 MCO → 17:44 JFK
    B6 1084 · JetBlue · 2h 54m · 79% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 JFK → 22:10 SFO
    B6 615 · JetBlue · 6h 40m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip10h 13mMCO 14:57 to SFO 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.