tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Philadelphia via Boston: arrives on time 41%

  1. 14:56 ACK → 15:51 BOS
    B6 1151 · JetBlue · 53m · 67% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:37 BOS → 21:20 PHL
    AA 1147 · American · 1h 43m · 46% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip6h 24mACK 14:56 to PHL 21:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.