tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Traverse City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:20 BOS → 07:53 PHL
    B6 1159 · JetBlue · 1h 34m · 93% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:47 TVC
    AA 5480 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 17m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 67 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 27mBOS 06:20 to TVC 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.