tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Louisville via Boston: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:49 PHL → 10:10 BOS
    B6 1160 · JetBlue · 1h 21m · 85% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:59 BOS → 16:40 SDF
    AA 3438 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 41m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 51mPHL 08:49 to SDF 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.