tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Portland via New York: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:00 BNA → 21:34 JFK
    B6 1174 · JetBlue · 2h 31m · 72% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 JFK → 00:25 PWM +1 day
    B6 308 · JetBlue · 1h 40m · 66% on time, 4.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (4.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 15mBNA 18:00 to PWM 00:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.