tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 60%

  1. 10:58 MVY → 11:45 BOS
    B6 1225 · JetBlue · 47m · 95% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:20 BOS → 16:13 DCA
    DL 5682 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 48m · 69% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 10mMVY 10:58 to DCA 16:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.