tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Sacramento via Los Angeles: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 JFK → 08:49 LAX
    B6 123 · JetBlue · 5h 52m · 88% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:15 LAX → 13:35 SMF
    WN 265 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 35mJFK 06:00 to SMF 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.