tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:03 ACK → 18:57 BOS
    B6 1351 · JetBlue · 54m · 70% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 BOS → 21:52 DCA
    B6 455 · JetBlue · 1h 44m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 49mACK 18:03 to DCA 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.