tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Philadelphia via Boston: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:03 ACK → 18:57 BOS
    B6 1351 · JetBlue · 54m · 70% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Boston (BOS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:40 BOS → 22:22 PHL
    DL 5610 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 42m · 57% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 19mACK 18:03 to PHL 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.