tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Martha's Vineyard → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:13 MVY → 16:51 DCA
    B6 1413 · JetBlue · 1h 38m · 55% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:40 DCA → 22:19 BOS
    AA 4382 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 67% on time, 8.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (8.1% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 08mMVY 15:13 to BOS 22:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.