tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Diego via Los Angeles: arrives on time 80%

  1. 07:30 EWR → 10:20 LAX
    B6 1573 · JetBlue · 5h 50m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:11 LAX → 15:11 SAN
    DL 4001 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 82% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip10h 41mEWR 07:30 to SAN 15:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.