tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Raleigh/Durham via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 43%

  1. 15:51 DCA → 18:32 FLL
    B6 1579 · JetBlue · 2h 41m · 61% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 FLL → 22:05 RDU
    B6 2626 · JetBlue · 2h 07m · 61% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 16mDCA 15:51 to RDU 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.