tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Baltimore via Buffalo: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:35 JFK → 08:00 BUF
    B6 1602 · JetBlue · 1h 25m · 89% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Buffalo (BUF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 BUF → 12:15 BWI
    WN 758 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 90% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 40mJFK 06:35 to BWI 12:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.