tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Washington via Boston: arrives on time 44%

  1. 10:25 SFO → 19:12 BOS
    B6 1734 · JetBlue · 5h 47m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:08 BOS → 21:52 DCA
    B6 455 · JetBlue · 1h 44m · 68% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip8h 27mSFO 10:25 to DCA 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.