tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → New Orleans via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 32%

  1. 09:30 JFK → 12:46 FLL
    B6 1801 · JetBlue · 3h 17m · 65% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:41 FLL → 14:45 MSY
    B6 1823 · JetBlue · 2h 05m · 55% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 16mJFK 09:30 to MSY 14:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.