tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Dulles via Rochester: arrives on time 84%

  1. 09:45 JFK → 11:20 ROC
    B6 186 · JetBlue · 1h 35m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Rochester (ROC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 ROC → 16:21 IAD
    UA 4521 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 21m · 92% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 36mJFK 09:45 to IAD 16:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.