tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nantucket → Washington via New York: arrives on time 46%

  1. 16:30 ACK → 17:40 JFK
    B6 192 · JetBlue · 1h 10m · 66% on time, 12.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:30 JFK → 22:59 DCA
    DL 5743 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 68% on time, 17.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (12.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (17.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 39mACK 16:30 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.