tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → San Francisco via Fort Lauderdale: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:24 MCO → 19:36 FLL
    B6 1947 · JetBlue · 1h 11m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Fort Lauderdale (FLL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 FLL → 23:52 SFO
    B6 277 · JetBlue · 5h 56m · 62% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 31mMCO 18:24 to SFO 23:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.