tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Boston via New York: arrives on time 37%

  1. 20:00 BUF → 21:34 JFK
    B6 201 · JetBlue · 1h 33m · 68% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 JFK → 23:59 BOS
    B6 1318 · JetBlue · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 59mBUF 20:00 to BOS 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.