tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Austin via Tampa: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:27 JFK → 09:24 TPA
    B6 225 · JetBlue · 2h 57m · 80% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:44 TPA → 14:24 AUS
    DL 487 · Delta · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 57mJFK 06:27 to AUS 14:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.