tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Denver via New York: arrives on time 16%

  1. 17:44 RDU → 19:28 JFK
    B6 2286 · JetBlue · 1h 41m · 39% on time, 25.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:16 JFK → 22:59 DEN
    B6 97 · JetBlue · 4h 42m · 60% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (25.5% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 14mRDU 17:44 to DEN 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.