tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Boston via Nantucket: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:40 DCA → 17:12 ACK
    B6 2494 · JetBlue · 1h 32m · 65% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Nantucket (ACK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:03 ACK → 18:57 BOS
    B6 1351 · JetBlue · 54m · 70% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 17mDCA 15:40 to BOS 18:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.